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- Weekend Bets: Saturday 21st - Sunday 22nd September
Weekend Bets: Saturday 21st - Sunday 22nd September
Ayyy Pinnock, Ya Head?
đź’° Punts: Ethan Pinnock Over 0.5 Shots & Ethan Pinnock Over 1.5 Shots
đź“— Bookie: Bet365
🎲 Odds: 2.37 (11/8) & 8.00 (7/1)
⚽️ Game: Tottenham vs. Brentford
Brentford registered 8 shots in total last week vs Manchester City, their Jamaican central defender Ethan Pinnock accounted for 3 of those. He had a header saved from a corner in the 28th minute, another headed saved from a long throw in the 29th minute and then he had a high, wide and not at all handsome left-footed effort from the edge of the box which was closer to the corner flag in the end.
Gif by BrentfordFC on Giphy
Tottenham’s fragility from defending set-pieces was apparent again last weekend as Gabriel’s headed effort in the 64th minute from a corner saw Mikel Arteta’s men claim all three points. I’d imagine Thomas Frank will be looking to exploit this weakness and have the likes of Pinnock and Nathan Collins be their main targets in doing so.
Pinnock averages around 0.6 shots per game throughout his career, however, this is a bet based more on their opponent and what I’m hoping the Bees game plan will be as they travel to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium looking to cause an upset.
Ethan Pinnock Over 0.5 Shots @ 2.37 (11/8) - Bet365
Ethan Pinnock Over 1.5 Shots @ 8.00 (7/1) - Bet365
đź’° Punts: Andre 2+ Fouls Won & Andre 3+ Fouls Won
đź“— Bookie: SkyBet
🎲 Odds: 2.88 (15/8) & 7.50 (13/2)
⚽️ Game: Aston Villa vs. Wolves
Gary O’Neil’s newest Brazilian recruit is Andre Trindade da Costa Neto, or, just Andre. He joins Wolves’ growing Brazilian contingent alongside Joao Gomes, Matheus Cunha & Pedro Lima. The former Fluminense midfielder made his full Premier League debut last week vs. Newcastle and won 2 fouls, 1 from each of Joelinton and Sean Longstaff.
Gif by WolvesFC on Giphy
Andre is fouled 1.8 times on average per 90 minutes played and given his ability and style of play, I’d imagine the Wolves player will end up winning a similar amount of fouls as his fellow Brazilian international Bruno Guimaraes come the end of the season.
Andre will be up against the likes of Amadou Onana, Youri Tielemans and John McGinn. The odds with Sky are a lot higher than what I was expecting and it won’t be long before he’s odds on to win 2+ fouls in my opinion.
Andre 2+ Fouls Won @ 2.88 (15/8) - SkyBet
Andre 3+ Fouls Won @ 7.50 (13/2) - SkyBet
đź’° Punts: Preston 14+ Fouls Committed, Preston 17+ Fouls Committed & Preston 19+ Fouls Committed
đź“— Bookie: SkyBet
🎲 Odds: 2.25 (5/4), 5.50 (9/2) & 12.00 (11/1)
⚽️ Game: Preston vs. Blackburn
Preston are averaging 18 fouls per game over the first 5 games of this Championship season. Paul Heckingbottom has been in charge of 3 of those games since Ryan Lowe’s surprise exit after the opening day defeat to Chris Wilder’s Sheffield United.
Since Heckingbottom took charge, they have the following fouls committed totals in The Championship:
Luton - 16 fouls committed
Oxford - 21 fouls committed
Middlesbrough - 21 fouls committed
After the 1-1 draw with Burnley at the end of August, it’s the second Lancashire derby in a matter of weeks for Blackburn as they travel to Deepdale on Sunday afternoon. There was a total of 34 match fouls in that derby, with Burnley committing 15 of those, Bristol City also committed 15 fouls vs John Eustace’s men last week.
As well as committing fouls, Heckingbottom’s Preston North End side have also been ill-disciplined racking up the yellow cards. They picked up 6 yellow cards vs. Luton, 5 yellows and a red card vs. Oxford & 5 yellow cards vs. Middlesbrough.
Preston 14+ Fouls Committed @ 2.25 (5/4) - SkyBet
Preston 17+ Fouls Committed @ 5.50 (9/2) - SkyBet
Preston 19+ Fouls Committed @ 12.00 (11/1) - SkyBet
đź’° Punts: Oscar Mingueza Over 0.5 Assists
đź“— Bookie: Bet365
🎲 Odds: 9.00 (8/1)
⚽️ Game: Athletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo’s games continue to be filled to the brim with goals this season. Both teams have scored in all 5 of their La Liga games this campaign. They’ve scored 13 and conceded 10. An average of 4.6 goals per game so far, a big part of their attacking output has been their wingbacks, particularly Oscar Mingueza who’s registered 2 goals and 3 assists. Fellow wingback Hugo Alvarez also scored in their last game.
The 9.00 (8/1) for Oscar Mingueza to register an assist with Bet365 has tempted me in. It’s a similar price with Betfair/Paddy Power and hopefully his outrageous attacking output continues.
Cheeky Punts
Tottenham vs. Brentford: Ethan Pinnock 3+ Total Shots & 1+ Shot On Target @ 54.00 (53/1) - Betfair/Paddy Power
Preston vs. Blackburn: Preston 17+ Fouls Committed & Blackburn 16+ Fouls Committed @ 26.00 (25/1) - SkyBet
Preston 19+ Fouls Committed & Blackburn 18+ Fouls Committed @ 111.00 (110/1) - SkyBetAthletic Bilbao vs. Celta Vigo: Oscar Mingueza to Score from Outside the Box @ 81.00 (80/1) - Bet365
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