💰 Punt: Ian Maatsen To Be Carded
📗 Bookie: SkyBet
🎲 Odds: 5.50 (9/2)
⚽️ Game: Borussia Dortmund vs. Freiburg

Since joining Borussia Dortmund on loan from Chelsea last month, Ian Maatsen has picked up 3 yellow cards in his 4 Bundesliga appearances. In his short Dortmund career thus far he has only made 5 fouls, so it appears that the 1 or 2 fouls he is making per game have so far been enough for the German referee to brandish a yellow card.

Punt: Ian Maatsen To Be Carded @ 5.50 (9/2) - SkyBet

Maatsen was booked 26 times in 113 appearances across his 3 EFL loans at Charlton, Coventry & Burnley. He also has a career average of 1.4 fouls per 90 minutes played.

💰 Punt: Nabil Fekir To Score Anytime
📗 Bookie: Betfair/Paddy Power
🎲 Odds: 4.33 (10/3)
⚽️ Game: Cadiz vs. Real Betis

Nabil Fekir completed 90 minutes for the first time in almost a year last week vs Getafe. The talismanic Frenchman had 4 shots, with 1 on target and he missed a ‘big chance’. This was playing alongside Isco, who has been Betis’ most influential player by some distance this season. Isco picked up an injury in the latter stages of the game and looks set for a spell on the sidelines. This should see any potential penalties taken by Fekir and I think the anytime goalscorer price available is too big to ignore.

Punts:

• Nabil Fekir To Score Anytime @ 4.33 (10/3) - Betfair/Paddy Power

• Nabil Fekir To Score From Outside The Box @ 19.00 (18/1) - Bet365

WhoScored has recorded data on 315 of Nabil Fekir’s career games played, in that time he’s registered 784 shots, and 375 of those shots have come from outside the box. Of his 88 goals scored, 17 have been from distance.

💰 Punt: Tino Livramento 2+, 3+ & 4+ Tackles
📗 Bookie: SkyBet
🎲 Odds: 2.00 (1/1), 4.33 (10/3) & 10.00 (9/1)
⚽️ Game: Nottingham Forest vs. Newcastle

After Chiedozie Ogbene tore Dan Burn to shreds last Saturday, Eddie Howe would be a brave man to persist with the Blyth-born defender at left-back against another pacy winger in Anthony Elanga. Logic says Tino Livramento should get the nod on the left-hand side of defence but then again half of Newcastle thought that at half-time of the Luton match.

Livramento averages 1.6 tackles per game when starting games as left-back for Newcastle, this is much lower than the 2.4 tackles per 90-minute average for his career, however, if he is tasked with stopping Anthony Elanga I’m hoping for a jump in these numbers. Elanga has a career average of 2.9 dribbles per 90 with 1.8 unsuccessful dribbles per 90.

Punts:

• Tino Livramento 2+ Tackles @ 2.00 (1/1)

• Tino Livramento 3+ Tackles @ 4.33 (10/3)

• Tino Livramento 4+ Tackles @ 10.00 (9/1)

Beheddie Howe is not to be trusted so if you do back the bet before team news arrives on Saturday evening, beware of the terrorist starting Dan Burn once again and cash out before kick-off if Livramento is left on the bench.

💰 Punt: Nadiem Amiri Over 1.5 Shots
📗 Bookie: Bet365
🎲 Odds: 3.50 (5/2)
⚽️ Game: VfB Stuttgart vs. Mainz

In his 2 appearances since joining Mainz from Leverkusen, Nadiem Amiri has registered 7 shots.

• Werder Bremen - 5 shots, 84 minutes

• Union Berlin - 2 shots, 70 minutes

Punt: Nadiem Amiri Over 1.5 Shots @ 3.50 (5/2) - Bet365

All 7 of these shots have been from outside the area so it seems as though the German midfielder is eager to impress at his new club. It also looks like Amiri has taken over free-kick-taking duties with both of his shots vs Union Berlin being free-kicks. Amiri’s career average stands at 1.4 shots per game increasing to 2.3 shots per 90 minutes so hopefully the run continues for his new club.

31% of the shots that Stuttgart concede are from outside the box and 62% of the shots they concede come in the middle of the pitch which is hopefully where Amiri finds himself some space to have a couple of efforts at goal.

💰 Punt: James Ward-Prowse Over 0.5 Assists & Tomas Soucek To Score A Header
📗 Bookie: Bet365 through Bet Builder
🎲 Odds: 46.00 (45/1)
⚽️ Game: West Ham vs. Arsenal

West Ham have got the better of Arsenal in their first two meetings this season and a large part of those wins has been the Hammers’ ability to score from set-pieces. An example of that is Mavropanos scoring a header from a Ward-Prowse corner in the reverse fixture at the Emirates.

Arsenal have had over 70% possession in the previous two meetings this season so Sunday’s clash should see David Moyes continue to set his side up to take advantage of counter-attacks and set-pieces. Tomas Soucek should be West Ham’s main target from any free-kicks or corners and hopefully, he gets his bonce on the end of a pinpoint cross from Ward-Prowse.

Punt: James Ward-Prowse Over 0.5 Assists & Tomas Soucek To Score A Header @ 46.00 (45/1) - Bet365 via Bet Builder

💰 Punt: Kenan Yildiz To Score Anytime
📗 Bookie: Bet365
🎲 Odds: 3.40 (12/5)
⚽️ Game: Juventus vs. Udinese

Turkish starlet Kenan Yildiz is yet to build on his solitary Serie A goal against Frosinone back in December but he has scored a couple of goals in the Coppa Italia. With the rumours of Dusan Vlahovic struggling with a muscle injury that he picked up in last weekend’s 1-0 defeat to Inter Milan, Yildiz should shoulder a lot more of the goalscoring responsibilities if the Serbian striker is only fit enough to make the bench.

Punt: Kenan Yildiz To Score Anytime @ 3.40 (12/5) - Bet365

Yildiz hasn’t completed 90 minutes in Serie A thus far but when looking at his shooting data, he’s averaging 1.6 shots per 90 in the league which is largely with Vlahovic. In his Coppa Italia appearances:

• Salernitana, 24 minutes - 2 shots, goal.

• Frosinone, 78 minutes - 1 shot, goal.