• Plymouth - 90 mins - 3 shots

• Birmingham - 90 mins - 1 shot

• Rotherham - 20 mins - 2 shots

• West Brom - 90 mins - 2 shots

• Leicester - 84 mins - 1 shot

• Ipswich - 45 mins - 2 shots

• Millwall - 27 mins - 0 shots

• Southampton - 90 mins - 3 shots

Going back in on Liam Millar's shots after he was benched vs. Millwall last weekend. He managed 3 shots vs a possession-dominant Southampton side (72%) and I’d expect Liam Rosenior’s Hull side to have a similar amount of the ball too. Millar’s pace will be an outlet for Preston and hopefully lead to a few shots for the Canadian on the counter-attack.

Punt:

• Liam Millar Over 1.5 Shots @ 3.00 (2/1) - Bet365

• Liam Millar Over 2.5 Shots @ 7.00 (6/1) - Bet365

Jannik Vestergaard has picked up 7 yellow cards already in 12 Championship games this season for the Foxes. 5 of those have been for fouls, 1 for dissent & 1 for time-wasting. Averages 1.1 fouls per game this season.

The great Dane will likely have a physical battle with either Lyndon Dykes or Sinclair Armstrong and I could see him having a right old tussle resulting in some handbags thrown with one of, if not both of the QPR forwards at some point during the 90 minutes.

Punt: The 4.33 (10/3) with Betfair/Paddy Power for Jannik Vestergaard to be shown a card appeals to me and is my play for Saturday afternoon’s fixture between two sides at opposite ends of the table.

Since Xavi was appointed Barcelona manager in November 2021, he’s opted to use Ronald Araujo as a right-back in El Clasico. The summer signing of Joao Cancelo might change that, however, with Vinicius Jr now playing with more freedom as a ‘striker’. Ronald Araujo to make a couple of tackles looks like a bet even if he plays in his more natural centre-back position.

Ronald Araujo’s tackles & fouls data when playing RB in his last 5 competitive El Clasico’s:

• 05/04/23 - Copa Del Rey - 2 tackles, 2 fouls & booked.

• 19/03/23 - La Liga - 4 tackles & 1 foul.

• 02/03/23 - Copa Del Rey - 3 tackles & 2 fouls.

• 15/01/23 - Spain Super Cup - 2 tackles, 4 fouls & booked.

• 20/03/22 - La Liga - 0 tackles & 0 fouls.

Punt: Ronald Araujo Over 1.5 Tackles @ 2.50 (6/4) - Bet365

These two sides have mustered a solitary win between them in their combined 18 Premier League fixtures so far this campaign. That win was Burnley’s narrow 2-1 victory against fellow promoted side Luton Town.

It’s 18th vs 19th and although it’ll only be their 10th game of the season, can it be a 6-pointer? In October? I’m not sure. But, I do fancy a fair few cards though!

Referee Samuel Barrott is hardly Clintons when it comes to dishing out cards but I think the importance of a win for both teams could force him to get the cheese slices out. Both sides were in card fests last weekend, Bournemouth picking up 2 yellow cards & a red card with opponents Wolves picking up 6 yellow cards. Burnley amassed 4 yellow cards & a red card with their opponent Brentford picking up 5 yellow cards.

Have a punt on: Over 2 Cards For Bournemouth & Over 2 Cards For Burnley @ 6.00 (5/1) via Bet365’s Bet Builder.

Since joining Getafe, former Bournemouth man Diego Rico has 5 assists in 6 La Liga games. He has at least 1+ assists in 4/6 of his games so far this term. He’s only managed 15 assists in 179 career games that WhoScored has recorded data on, so a third of those assists have come in the opening months of this season!

Punt: Diego Rico Anytime Assist @ 11.00 (10/1) with Betfair/Paddy Power

Bit of a left-field shout this one but hear me out…

Alfie Doughty plays as a wing-back for Rob Edwards’ Luton side, he does only have 18 career offsides in 102 games so you might think I’ve gone doolally. And you might be right!

Doughty’s only offside this season came against Everton where his average position was the second highest on the pitch for a Luton player. His average position vs Burnley was more advanced than any of his teammates.

Unai Emery is notorious for playing a high line that catches their opponents offside multiple times a game and there’s been some ridiculous offside numbers against them so far this year. Opposition offsides vs Villa:

2/1/9/5/3/6/0/3/10/2/6/1/3/3/8.

The Villains will dominate possession so hoping for Luton to be direct when they get it and Alfie to be penalised by the linesman a couple of times. Bosh!

It’s a bet that has landed twice already in the Premier League this season. At home to Newcastle and away to Wolves. The only other time it’s landed in his career was River Plate’s 2-1 Superclasico victory over Boca Juniors where he scored a brace and was booked. Manchester derby is basically the same, isn’t it?! Banker.

Won’t bore you any longer. It’s a bet! Couldn’t look at backing half the players listed with the odds on offer.

Punt: Julian Alvarez To Score & Be Carded @ 28.00 (27/1) with SkyBet

#CheekyPunts

• Over 4 Cards For Bournemouth & Over 4 Cards For Burnley @ 191.00 (190/1) - Bet365

• Ronald Araujo Over 2.5 Tackles & Over 1.5 Fouls Committed @ 9.50 (17/2) & Liam Millar Over 2.5 Shots & Over 0.5 Shots On Target @ 11.00 (10/1) - Combine for a 104.50 (103.5/1) double via Bet Builder on Bet365

• Julian Alvarez To Score a Brace & To Be Carded @ 131.00 (130/1) - SkyBet