Wednesday Night’s Premier League action consists of 6 games:

• Everton vs. Wolves

• Manchester City vs. Nottingham Forest

• Newcastle vs. Liverpool

• Southampton vs. Chelsea

• Arsenal vs. Manchester United

• Aston Villa vs. Brentford

Precisely 3 weeks left to save Christmas, a 100/1 shot or two before then should do the trick!

Most fouled PL players playing tonight:

• Bruno Guimaraes (Newcastle) - 3.9pg

• Anthony Gordon (Newcastle) - 2.4 pg

• Cole Palmer (Chelsea) - 2.3pg

• Tyler Dibling (Southampton) - 2.2pg

• John McGinn (Aston Villa) - 2.2pg

• Bukayo Saka (Arsenal) - 2.2pg

• Ryan Yates (Nottingham Forest) - 2.2pg

• Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool) - 1.9pg

• Elliot Anderson (Nottingham Forest) - 1.9pg

• Kyle Walker-Peters (Southampton) - 1.9pg

💰 Punt: Over 4.5 Match Cards
📗 Bookie: Bet365
🎲 Odds: 1.91 (10/11)
⚽️ Game: Southampton vs. Chelsea

Southampton vs. Chelsea are the top two teams in the league for ill discipline, picking up 91 yellow cards and 2 red cards between them. Chelsea top the charts with 47 yellow cards with Southampton hot on their heels in 2nd place with 44 yellow cards and 2 red cards in their 13 games so far. Both sides are also committing a similar amount of fouls each game, Chelsea rank 5th in this metric at 12.3 fouls per game and Southampton are 6th as they commit 12.1 fouls per game. Southampton are the 3rd most fouled team in the PL per game (13.2) with Chelsea slightly behind them as the 5th most fouled team (12.5).

Tony Harrington is the man in charge at St. Mary’s, he’s took charge of 2 Southampton games already this season, giving them 3 yellow cards on each occasion. Again, the referee’s stats aren’t anything to write home about, but, he can dish them out when needed. As shown in the Lancashire derby between Burnley and Blackburn earlier this season when he reached into his pocket over 10 times.

It’s a far cry from refereeing at Grayfields on a Sunday morning but hopefully big Tony hasn’t forgotten his roots now he’s officiating in the big time. 5 yellows for each team should do the trick.

Punt: Over 4.5 Match Cards @ 1.91 (10/11) - Bet365

💰 Punt: Bukayo Saka To Commit 1+ Fouls on Diogo Dalot & Bukayo Saka To Commit 2+ Fouls on Diogo Dalot
📗 Bookie: SkyBet & Paddy Power
🎲 Odds: 6.50 (11/2) & 56.00 (55/1)
⚽️ Game: Arsenal vs. Man Utd

Bukayo Saka’s foul numbers have spiked recently, he’s committed 7 fouls in his last 6 Premier League games and has been aggressive in his pressing, fouling his direct opponent a couple of times. As well as his domestic fouls increasing, he’s committed 10 fouls in 4 UCL games so far, most noticeably racking up 5 fouls against Inter Milan.

Bukayo Saka’s recent foul totals:

• West Ham - 1 (fouled Paqueta)

• Sporting Lisbon - 2 (fouled Edwards and Araujo*)

• Nottingham Forest - 1 (fouled Yates)

• Chelsea - 0

• Inter Milan - 5 (Fouled Calhanoglu, Bisseck, Darmian*)

• Newcastle - 2 (Fouled Guimaraes & Longstaff)

• Liverpool - 1 (Fouled Robertson*)

• Southampton - 2 (Fouled Manning* & Kyle-Walker Peters*)

Saka has fouled the opposition’s left-back or left-wing-back 4 times in his last 8 club games. The obvious play would be to back the opposite of this exact bet with Dalot fouling Saka the likelier outcome. However, with the odds on offer at SkyBet (11/2) or Paddy Power (5/1) it’s worthy of a bet for me. I’ll chance the possibility of Saka fouling Dalot twice (55/1) with Paddy Power as well.

To find this bet on SkyBet, scroll to ‘Player’ and it’s in the NEW: Player Foul Matchups section.

To find this bet on PaddyPower, go to Fouls/Cards market > Player Foul Matchups.

#CheekyPunts

• Nottingham Forest or Draw & Matz Sels to be Booked @ 21.00 (20/1)

• Man Utd or Draw & Andre Onana to be Booked @ 19.00 (18/1)

• The double chance keeper booked double is priced at 399.00 (398/1) or for those clinically insane among us, both Forest and United to win and both keepers booked has odds of 2856.00 (2855/1).