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Thursday 5th December: Premier League on Prime
Rutter Winning Fouls & Christiemas Comes Early
Thursday Night’s double-header sees Marco Silva’s Fulham host Fabian Hurzeler’s Brighton at Craven Cottage and Ange Postecoglou’s Spurs side travel to the Vitality Stadium to take on Andoni Iraolo’s impressive Bournemouth outfit.
Shots for per game ranks:
Tottenham - 15.8 shots for per game (2nd)
Bournemouth - 15.2 shots for per game (4th)
Fulham - 15.1 shots for per game (6th)
Brighton - 14.4 shots for per game (8th)
Shots conceded per game ranks:
Brighton - 12.6 shots conceded per game (9th)
Bournemouth - 12.3 shots conceded per game (13th)
Fulham - 11.8 shots conceded per game (14th)
Tottenham - 11.0 shots conceded per game (18th)
Tackles per game ranks:
Bournemouth - 19.4 tackles per game (6th)
Tottenham - 18.1 tackles per game (8th)
Fulham - 17.8 tackles per game (9th)
Brighton - 17.4 tackles per game (12th)
Fouls per game ranks:
Bournemouth - 13.6 fouls per game (1st)
Fulham - 11.8 fouls per game (9th)
Brighton - 11.8 fouls per game (10th)
Tottenham - 11.0 fouls per game (15th)
Fouled per game ranks:
Tottenham - 14.2 fouls won per game (1st)
Brighton - 11.4 fouls won per game (8th)
Fulham - 10.2 fouls won per game (15th)
Bournemouth - 10.0 fouls won per game (17th)
💰 Punt: Georginio Rutter To Win 2+ Fouls & Georginio Rutter To Win 4+ Fouls
📗 Bookie: SkyBet
🎲 Odds: 2.25 (5/4) & 13.00 (12/1)
⚽️ Game: Fulham vs. Brighton
Georginio Rutter has won 18 fouls in his 12 Premier League appearances for Brighton this term, fouled on average 1.5 times a game but this increases to 2.1 per 90 minutes. This is well below his career average of 2.4 fouls won per 90 minutes. The former Leeds star was one of the most fouled players in The Championship last season, winning 2.5 fouls per game. He’s won 217 fouls in 138 appearances and is fouled on average once every 37.6 minutes, quick maths!
Gif by LeedsUnited on Giphy
He was fouled 4 times last Friday Night when The Seagulls faced Southampton and a make-shift Fulham midfield missing the likes of Sasa Lukic and Tom Cairney through suspension could struggle to contain the 22-year-old Frenchman.
SkyBet’s odds of 2.25 (5/4) for Georginio Rutter To Win 2+ Fouls look generous based on his career numbers. I’ve also punted him To Win 3+ Fouls @ 5.00 (4/1) and To Win 4+ Fouls @ 13.00 (12/1) with the same bookmaker.
Punt: Georginio Rutter To Win 2+ Fouls @ 2.25 (5/4) & Georginio Rutter To Win 4+ Fouls @ 13.00 (12/1) - SkyBet
💰 Punt: Ryan Christie To Be Booked
📗 Bookie: Bet365 or SkyBet
🎲 Odds: 5.00 (4/1)
⚽️ Game: Bournemouth vs. Tottenham
Big Ange’s Spurs side are the most fouled team in the league and the tonight’s opponents The Cherries are the team who commit the most fouls, a match made in heaven? Potentially.
Tottenham’s talisman James Maddison is their most fouled player, an average of 3.0 fouls won per 90 minutes. Fellow midfield man Pape Matar Sarr is also winning his fair share of fouls recently and he averages 2.2 fouls won per 90, including 8 times in his last 4 PL starts (0, 3, 3, 2).
Gif by afcbournemouth on Giphy
Ryan Christie has already served a one-match suspension for picking up 5 yellow cards this term in just 10 starts (12 appearances). The 5.00 (4/1) available with SkyBet or Bet365 for him to pick one up this evening tonight looks very appealing if he gets the nod to start. If he starts alongside Lewis Cook, it’ll make for a nicely priced 20/1 Michael Duble. Right in the Christmas spirit!
Christie commits 1.5 fouls per game and his midfield partner Lewis Cook commits the most fouls per game for Bournemouth (2.3) which is the joint 2nd most per game in the Premier League.
Punts:
Ryan Christie To Be Booked @ 5.00 (4/1) - Sky Bet or Bet365
Ryan Christie & Lewis Cook To Be Booked @ 21.00 (20/1) - Bet365
Ryan Christie, Lewis Cook & James Maddison To Be Booked @ 71.00 (70/1) - Bet365
If Lewis Cook doesn’t start, I’ll be taking the Christie & Maddison double at 17.00 (16/1) instead. If none of them start, I’ll just wallow in self pity and tweet more bets into the abyss. Vamos!
#CheekyPunt
Ryan Christie & James Maddison to be Booked @ 17.00 (16/1). Sander Berge & Jan Paul van Hecke to be Booked @ 15.00 (14/1). Cross-match double pays out at 255.00 (254/1)
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