💰 Punt: Lewis Cook To Be Booked
📗 Bookie: Bet365
🎲 Odds: 5.00 (4/1)
⚽️ Game: Newcastle vs. Bournemouth

(Bournemouth set to be missing at least nine players on Saturday – Enes Unal, Evanilson, Marcos Senesi, Julian Araujo, Alex Scott, Luis Sinisterra, James Hill, Adam Smith, Marcus Tavernier).

The first-half injury to James Hill in the Cherries’ midweek Desmond 2-2 draw with Chelsea has left Andoni Iraola’s men even more short-handed. The regular back-up at the right-back position would have been Max Aarons but he left to join Valencia on loan after Bournemouth’s FA Cup win over West Brom. Lewis Cook should deputise in defence as he did when Hill went off at Stamford Bridge. Cook is averaging 2.4 tackles per game and 1.7 fouls per game and has picked up 4 yellow cards in the Premier League this term. Gordon is fouled 2.2 times per game which is the 2nd highest for Newcastle, only Bruno (3.3) is fouled more times on average per game. So, whether Cook starts in his usual central midfield position or the unfamiliar right-back role, he looks a bet for a card on Saturday lunch-time.

Punts:

• Lewis Cook To Be Booked @ 5.00 (4/1) - Bet365

• Lewis Cook & Ryan Christie To Be Booked @ 26.00 (25/1) - Bet365

Ryan Christie is also a great price with SkyBet to be booked at 6.00 (5/1) with SkyBet, the Scot has picked up 7 yellow cards for The Cherries in 18 starts and 2 sub appearances. The double is best priced with Bet365 as shown above.

💰 Punt: Cardiff 14+ Fouls Committed & Swansea 12+ Fouls Committed
📗 Bookie: SkyBet
🎲 Odds: 4.75 (15/4)
⚽️ Game: Cardiff vs. Swansea

South Wales Derbies in The Championship since 2019:

• 27/10/2019 - 27 fouls (12 Swansea, 15 Cardiff)

• 12/01/2020 - 27 fouls (16 Cardiff, 11 Swansea)

• 12/12/2020 - 31 fouls (19 Cardiff, 12 Swansea)

• 20/03/2021 - 21 fouls (7 Swansea, 14 Cardiff)

• 17/10/2021 - 20 fouls (5 Swansea, 15 Cardiff)

• 02/04/2022 - 28 fouls (14 Cardiff, 14 Swansea)

• 23/10/2022 - 15 fouls (5 Swansea, 10 Cardiff)

• 01/04/2023 - 30 fouls (19 Cardiff, 11 Swansea)

• 16/09/2023 - 24 fouls (13 Cardiff, 11 Swansea)

• 16/03/2024 - 23 fouls (12 Swansea, 11 Cardiff)

• 25/08/2024 - 28 fouls (14 Swansea, 14 Cardiff)

Cardiff tend to do the heavy lifting in terms of fouling on Derby Day in South Wales but Swansea manager Luke Williams has spoken about the importance of the rivalry and that he wants his side to be ‘ferocious’ whatever the fuck that means. That word to me means violence, it means Mike Tyson. To the Swans gaffer? Probably something about a corner still being a corner when you take it short and it ends up back at your keepers feet 80 yards from goal, the little possession shagger.

Asked if he expects Swansea to dominate the ball this weekend, Williams said: "I expect my players to be ferocious and be highly motivated for the game.

"How that looks in terms of how much ball we have and whatever, I don't know. But I know the lads are going to be in a very intense state of mind.

"There is a different emotion [surrounding the derby] and there's no point trying to hide from that. There's no point trying to pretend it's exactly the same as all the other games. It's not."

Punts:

• Cardiff 14+ Fouls Committed & Swansea 12+ Fouls Committed @ 4.75 (15/4) - SkyBet via Build A Bet.

• Cardiff 17+ Fouls Committed & Swansea 15+ Fouls Committed @ 27.00 (26/1) - SkyBet via Build A Bet.

• Cardiff 19+ Fouls Committed & Swansea 17+ Fouls Committed @ 121.00 (120/1) - SkyBet via Build A Bet.

💰 Punt: James Justin Anytime Goalscorer & James Justin To Score From Outside The Box
📗 Bookie: Bet365
🎲 Odds: 13.00 (12/1) & 126.00 (125/1)
⚽️ Game: Leicester vs. Fulham

James Justin has had 19 shots in the Premier League this term. 8 have been headed, 8 have been right footed, 2 with his left foot & 1 with ‘other body parts’. 4 of those shots have been from outside the box and in midweek vs. Crystal Palace he took a free-kick. Justin’s set-piece effort went just wide of the post but left Dean Henderson rooted to the spot, hopefully he gets a chance to channel his inner Juninho Pernambucano on Saturday afternoon.

Justin recently scored a brace in Leicester’s morale boosting 6-2 win over QPR in the FA Cup. There’s not much else to say really, without sounding mentally unwell that is. Either look like a genius when he turns into David Beckham or sigh at my phone at 5pm like that Roy Hodgson GIF.

💰 Punt: PL Fouls Acca
📗 Bookie: Bet365
🎲 Odds: 85.00 (84/1)
⚽️ Games: Brentford vs. Liverpool, Leicester vs. Fulham & West Ham vs. Crystal Palace

Brentford vs. Liverpool:

• Christian Norgaard Over 1.5 Fouls Committed & Ryan Gravenberch Over 1.5 Fouls Committed @ 4.75 (15/4)

Leicester vs. Fulham:

• Boubakary Soumare Over 1.5 Fouls Committed & Sasa Lukic Over 1.5 Fouls Committed @ 4.00 (3/1)

West Ham vs. Crystal Palace:

• Edson Alvarez Over 1.5 Fouls Committed & Marc Guehi Over 0.5 Fouls Committed @ 4.50 (7/2)

Combine the above in one filthy cross-match treble bet builder and it’s a 85.00 (84/1) shot. Why not? If Lucas Paqueta can score from outside the box then anything can happen. Watching the goal back, I’m convinced Bernd Leno is an avid keep punting fanatic.

The same bet is 37/1 with Sky Bet which I’d avoid like the plague. It’s around the 60/1 mark with Paddy Power who also have the added insurance of their Super Sub feature so the bet has a chance until the final whistle.

💰 Punt: Youri Tielemans Assist & Amadou Onana To Score a Header
📗 Bookie: Bet365 via Bet Builder
🎲 Odds: 151.00 (150/1)
⚽️ Game: Arsenal vs. Aston Villa

Bet365 have a ‘Bet £10, get £10 bet credits’ offer on the Saturday evening kick-off between Arsenal & Aston Villa.

Gary Neville will be delighted to be covering the set-piece coach derby tonight. If he does as Jamie Carragher suggested and interviews both Nicolas Jover and Austin MacPhee before the game we could be in store for some comedy gold.

@wearetheoverlap

“I called him the most annoying guy in football!” 😬 “And I’m doubling down…” 😎 Gary’s not holding back, the set piece saga continues! 🔥 #a... See more

Onana’s Aston Villa career got off to a flying start as he bagged 3 times in his first 5 appearances for the Villains. He scored a header from a Youri Tielemans corner against West Ham on debut and then scored his second vs. Leicester from a set-piece situation as well, although it wasn’t a header and Tielemans didn’t assist him. The Belgian international midfielders did combine again for Andre’s 3rd goal of the season, although it was just a pass before he rifled it into the bottom corner from 30 yards against Young Boys in the Champions League. Andre’s not even my name mate, do you know what I mean? Go on.

Best case scenario here is we win £1500 and get £10 in bet credits. Worst case scenario is we get £10 in bet credits. Either way, we’re going again on Super Sunday, aren’t we? Keep fackin’ puntin.