Manchester City vs Inter Milan: UEFA Champions League Final Bets

For all of Man City’s dominance in possession that makes Keith from the pub angry that they’re keeping the ball rather than attacking at every opportunity, they can be quite a physically intimidating side and they tend to have a few efforts from distance. Rodri is a prime example of this. Only Haaland, De Bruyne and Gundogan are averaging more shots per game than Rodri in the Champions League this season for Man City. He’s had 2+ shots in 5/10 UCL starts. He also had 2+ shots in 15/33 PL starts when starting in midfield. Rodri to have Over 1 Shot is best priced with William Hill @ 2.15 (23/20).

• Rodri Over 1 Shot - William Hill @ 2.15 (23/20)

• Rodri Over 1.5 Shots - Bet365 @ 2.10 (11/10)

• Rodri To Have 2 Or More Shots - Betfair/Paddy Power @ 2.00 (1/1)

• Rodri 2+ Total Shots - SkyBet @ 1.83 (5/6)

I imagine Inter will try and defend quite deep and narrow forcing Man City to either test them from range or from crosses/set-pieces, both of which could see Rodri take advantage. He showed against Bayern Munich he can score from a distance with a beautiful goal outside the box with his weak foot and 33% of his shots this season in all competitions for club and country are headed attempts. 41.6% of his shots come from outside of the box.

Data taken from WhoScored, Rodri is averaging 1.2 shots per game in all competitions over 60 games this season excluding the 4 games he played in the FA Cup.

I’ll also be having a couple of larger-priced bet builders involving Rodri’s shots above and Inter’s right-wing back Denzel Dumfries to make a few tackles, likely tasked with stopping Jack Grealish. Dumfries has made 2+ tackles in 5 of his last 7 Serie A starts. Hitting 3+ in 3 of his last 7 domestic starts.