💰 Punts: Jorgen Larsen To Be Booked, Jorgen Larsen To Score & Be Booked
📗 Bookie: Bet365
🎲 Odds: 12.00 (11/1) & 26.00 (25/1)
⚽️ Game: Wolverhampton vs. Leicester

There’s the potential that Leicester have downed tools hence the card odds on offer here. Having said that, by the looks of the league table they downed tools in October so I’m having a good old degenerative punt on a striker getting booked. Yup the Norwegian foul merchant. It is a price play, but one you only have to donate a few quid to Denise Coates for in the hope of striking lucky. Let’s fucking ‘av it.

Jorgen Strand Larsen has made 46 fouls in the PL this season. Averaging 1.7 fouls per90 minutes, committing a foul every 52.2 minutes. Across his career he averages 1.8 fouls per90 over the course of 188 appearances for club and country. He has only picked up 4 cards in the prem this term, however, 2 of those have come in his last 6 games where he’s committed 15 fouls. As well as this, if you bet on him to be booked last weekend vs. Man Utd you’d have been paid out as a winner with their Sub On Play On feature as his replacement Pablo Sarabia picked up a booking.

Referee for this one is Samuel Barrott who absolutely reeks of a demotion to The Championship after his recent antics. He completely lost control of a seemingly nothing game between Crystal Palace and Bournemouth, showing 9 yellow cards and a red card last week. More of the same? Maybe it’s the Bournemouth factor as he showed 10 yellow cards and a red card in Wolves’ FA Cup tie with The Cherries back in March. Booking Larsen for dissent in the 74th minute. Hopefully the big Norwegian channels his inner Duncan Ferguson and gets his singing voice out…

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• Punt: Jorgen Larsen To Be Booked @ 12.00 (11/1) - Bet365

• Punt: Jorgen Larsen To Score & Be Booked @ 26.00 (25/1) - Bet365

The way my brain works reading this, I’m thinking why aren’t you backing Larsen first goalscorer and first player booked at 204.00 (203/1) as well? Probably a bit too far that though. Or is it?

💰 Punts: Relegation Candidate Cards
📗 Bookie: SkyBet & Bet365
🎲 Odds: 8.00 (7/1) & 88.00 (87/1)
⚽️ Game: Luton vs. Coventry, Cardiff vs. West Brom, Hull vs. Derby & Preston vs. Plymouth

7/1 and 87/1 4 folds for the relegation threatened teams in The Championship:

• 20+ Luton Town booking points

• 20+ Cardiff booking points

• 20+ Plymouth booking points

• 20+ booking points each team in Hull vs. Derby

The 20+ booking points acca pays out above 7/1 with SkyBet

• Luton - Over 2.5 Team Cards

• Cardiff - Over 2.5 Team Cards

• Hull vs Derby - Over 2 Cards for Hull & Over 2 Cards for Derby

• Plymouth - Over 2.5 Team Cards

The Over 2 Cards for each team acca pays slightly above 87/1 with Bet365.

There’s no real science behind it just emotions will be running high whether that be time-wasting and running down the clock or losing the plot because you’re now a League 1 player/manager. I’m looking at you, Aaron Ramsey. Refs are probably shite so I wouldn’t think too deeply about it at this stage of the season, just get them yellows dished out baldy bastards.

Hull vs. Derby has the potential to be an absolute cracker as well, especially if Luton get all 3 points in the early kick-off. 2 cards and 3 cards each probably a touch short to back as singles for my liking but just incase checks notes - Stephen Martin aka the worst referee for cards in the world, decides to bring them you could chance your arm at the following:

• Over 3 Cards for Hull & Over 3 Cards for Derby @ 17.00 (16/1) - Bet365

• Over 4 Cards for Hull & Over 4 Cards for Derby @ 71.00 (70/1) - Bet365

• Over 5 Cards for Hull & Over 5 Cards for Derby @ 301.00 (300/1) - Bet365

Get the old 2nd half cards for each team lottery tickets in there as well, like a proper Paul Merson apprentice would. Get up my boy. Alternatively, you could save your money and forget I ever typed the above words. I’d probably let Cornbread from Sinners loose at my neck if it was a card-fest and I wasn’t involved though.

💰 Punts: Harrison Ashby - Sub On Play On
📗 Bookie: Bet365
🎲 Odds: 2.50 (6/4), 9.00 (8/1) & 151.00 (150/1)
⚽️ Game: QPR vs. Burnley

This is an absolute lottery ticket if I’ve ever seen one, however, Harrison Ashby who is a full-back has been replaced by Michael Frey who’s a striker in QPR’s last 2 games. It’s also very team news dependent as Ashby may be demoted back to the bench with Kenneth Paal returning from injury to the R’s bench last week.

If Ashby does start, I’d chance his shot prices incase he’s replaced by Frey for the third consecutive game, I wouldn’t quite remortgage the house just yet though. Ashby averages 0.68 shots per90 this term meanwhile Michael Frey is averaging 2.33 per90.

Over 0.5 Harrison Ashby shots has won in 3 successive games on Bet365, the last 2 thanks to the Sub On Play On promotion. However, Ashby did pull his weight in the game prior by having 2 shots vs. Bristol City. Other than that, Ashby is likely to pull a donut except the odd couple of games in November where he had 3 shots in back-to-back games vs. Cardiff and Stoke.

20 of Frey’s 50 shots in The Championship since joining QPR have been headed efforts and 2 of his 8 QPR league goals this season have been headers. 12 of the 65 goals that WhoScored have recorded data for the big Swiss mush have also been headed goals, so if he does replace Ashby the 150/1 for Ashby to score a header will roll over to Frey scoring one, who is 20/1 to score a header pre-match with the firm. Of course, you’re hoping The Frey does replace Ashby otherwise I’ll be asking How To Save a Life.

“Where did I go wrong? I lost a bet.” 🎶

Punts:

• Harrison Ashby - Over 0.5 Shots @ 2.50 (6/4) - Bet365

• Harrison Ashby - Over 1.5 Shots @ 9.00 (8/1) - Bet365

• Harrison Ashby To Score a Header @ 151.00 (150/1) - Bet365