- Keep Punting
- Posts
- Gibbs-White To Act The Fool In April
Gibbs-White To Act The Fool In April
Cards in Nottingham & A Centre Back to Shoot in Spain
Keep Punting
March 30, 2023
Just want the bets?
Best Bet: Nottingham Forest vs Wolves - Both Teams To Have Over 19.5 Booking Points @ 2.10 (11/10) - William Hill
Next Best Bet: Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano - Florian Lejeune To Have Over 0.5 Shots @ 2.37 (11/8) - Bet365
Goalscorer Punt: Schalke vs Bayer Leverkusen - Exequiel Palacios Anytime Goalscorer @ 7.50 (13/2) - Unibet
#CheekyPunts
Exequiel Palacios To Score A Brace @ 76.00 (75/1) - SkyBet
Morgan Gibbs-White To Score Anytime & Be Carded @ 34.00 (33/1) - SkyBet
Morgan Gibbs-White To Score A Brace & Be Carded @ 376.00 (375/1) - SkyBet
A couple of stat-packs for this weekend’s televised Premier League games are on our Twitter ← Click here to view them.
Saturday’s early kick-off between Liverpool & Man City is shown here. It is the match average over each side’s last 10 EPL games respectively. For example, there have been 134 goal-kicks in Liverpool’s last 10 premier league games at an average of 13.40 per game.
Notts Forest vs Wolves, English Premier League, Saturday 1st April, 15:00.
Best Bet: Both Teams To Have Over 19.5 Booking Points @ 2.10 (11/10) - William Hill
Tempers flared between the two relegation-threatened sides a few months ago when they met in the Carabao Cup quarter-final. Forest won 4-3 on penalties after a 1-1 draw. A total of 6 yellow cards were shown in the 90 minutes and then there were some beautiful scenes after the game which led to FA charges for both clubs. Ex-Wolves player and academy product Morgan Gibbs-White was at the centre of the controversy both during and after the penalty shootout with his provocative celebration causing uproar amongst the Wolves following.
Wolves fined £45,000 by the FA for mass brawl at Forest & deemed most at fault. FA commission labels Julen Lopetegui "unprofessional" for approaching MGW. Report says “without that initial confrontation, we are satisfied that the mass confrontation would not have occurred.” #WWF#WWFC
— Alex Richards (@AA_Richards)
12:56 PM • Mar 21, 2023
Morgan Gibbs-White celebrating scoring his penalty against his old club in January.
Why am I betting cards in this game?
Relegation six-pointer, both sides are close to the bottom 3 despite sitting in 13th & 16th respectively.
The recent bad blood between the sides as mentioned above
Sides are ranked 4th & 7th for the worst discipline in the Premier League (Summary > Discipline)
Sides are ranked 4th & 6th for most fouls per game in the Premier League (Defensive > Fouls pg)
Chris Kavanagh has refereed Nottingham Forest 8 times in his career, showing Forest 2.38 cards pg & their opponents 2.00 cards pg.
Across 12 Wolves games, he shows them 1.83 cards pg on average & their opponents 1.42 cards pg.
The hyperlinks will take you directly to WhoScored’s website where you can access this data yourself.
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano, Spanish La Liga, Monday 3rd April, 20:00.
Next Best Bet: Florian Lejeune - Over 0.5 Shots @ 2.37 (11/8) - Bet365
Florian Lejeune has had 35 shots in La Liga this season which comes out at an average of around 1.5 shots per game (1.4583 recurring to be precise) over his 24 appearances. He’s had at least 1+ shot in 17 of those games and at least 2+ shots in 11 games this season. Couldn’t put you off backing over 1.5 shots @ 8.00 (7/1) with Bet365 either.
In 3 of the 7 games that he never had a shot, he was sent off in the 16th minute vs Espanyol, subbed off at half-time vs Almeria and subbed after 79 minutes vs Bilbao.
His shots and other player statistics data are accessible for free here.
Free-kick taker
Aerial threat from corners/crosses
Doesn’t mind a shot from a distance in open play
The possibility that he’s on penalties, Rayo has missed their last three (but really four) penalties.
In their last game vs Girona, Oscar Trejo saw his original penalty saved by Paulo Gazzaniga but was allowed to retake it. He channelled his inner Robert Pires and laid it off for his teammate Isi Palazon, who fired well over the bar. Watch for yourself here.
Schalke vs Bayer Leverkusen, German Bundesliga, Saturday 1st April, 14:30.
Bet: Exequiel Palacios To Score Anytime @ 7.50 (13/2) - Unibet
Xabi Alonso’s Bayer Leverkusen side has had their fair share of penalty troubles so far this season. Patrik Schick, Kerem Demirbay, Moussa Diaby and Edmond Tapsoba had all been on penalty duties this season and had all missed. During the clash with Bayern before the international break, Leverkusen had two penalties awarded in bizarre circumstances as shown below. New penalty taker, Exequiel Palacios scored them both. The penalty taking adds extra value to his goalscoring odds and I’d be happy to take anything above 5.50 (9/2).
Bayer Leverkusen's Amine Adli was given two yellow cards for simulation on two separate occasions, but BOTH were overturned and given as penalties! 🤣
— Sky Sports (@SkySports)
5:02 PM • Mar 20, 2023
#CheekyPunts
Morgan Gibbs-White To Score in 90 Mins & To Be Carded @ 34.00 (33/1) - SkyBet
Morgan Gibbs-White To Score a Brace & To Be Carded @ 376.00 (375/1) - SkyBet
Exequiel Palacios To Score a Brace @ 76.00 (75/1) - SkyBet.
It’s 66/1 in the regular Multi Scorers market so use the BuildABet function > Add Palacios To Score in 90 mins & Palacios To Score a Brace. Should get the boosted odds. The example is shown below!
Reply