🥊⚽️ Boxing Day Bets

Merry Christmas! 🎅

💰 Punt: Anthony Gordon & Neco Williams To Be Booked
📗 Bookie: Betfair/Paddy Power & William Hill
🎲 Odds: 21.00 (20/1)
⚽️ Game: Newcastle vs. Nottingham Forest

Neco Williams has only started 4 PL games for Forest but 3 of those starts have came in the last 3 games. He’s made a mammoth 22 tackles in that time. 5 vs Wolves, 10 (TEN) vs Tottenham & 7 vs Bournemouth. Not sure I can bring myself to back 5 tackles at 4.00 (3/1) with SkyBet vs Newcastle but I wouldn’t be surprised if he hit another high tackles number up against Anthony Gordon.

Gordon GIF by Newcastle United Football Club

Gif by Newcastle_United on Giphy

Instead, I fancy the pair to have a few niggles at each other throughout the 90 minutes with Neco Williams being fouled just as much as he fouls himself and Gordon is no stranger to a handbag or two. So, let’s back the pair of them to be shown a belated Christmas card which is priced as a 21.00 (20/1) double via Betfair/Paddy Power’s Bet Builder. It’s the same price on William Hill too.

Get the leftover Lindt Chocolates on Facebook Marketplace and have a couple of Punts:

  • Anthony Gordon & Neco Williams To Be Booked @ 21.00 (20/1) with Betfair/Paddy Power or William Hill.

  • Anthony Gordon & Neco Williams To Be Booked, Neco Williams To Commit 2+ Fouls & Anthony Gordon To Win 3+ Fouls @ 81.00 (80/1) with SkyBet.

💰 Punt: Darwin Nunez 1+ & 2+ Tackles
📗 Bookie: SkyBet
🎲 Odds: 1.91 (10/11) & 6.00 (5/1)
⚽️ Game: Burnley vs. Liverpool

Darwizzy was benched for the top of the table clash vs Arsenal but did make a tackle off the bench when playing left-wing to back up my thinking behind the bet…

Confused Champions League GIF by UEFA

Gif by uefa on Giphy

He’s started 19 times as a left-winger across his career for Liverpool, Benfica and Uruguay. Making 18 successful tackles in that time (0.9 per game) from 33 total attempted tackles. Last Wednesday in the Carabao Cup vs. West Ham, he started left-wing and made 5 successful tackles from the 7 he attempted.

If you get chance to take cover from nerf gun bullets that are fired your way between now and 17:30 on Boxing Day, have a punt on:

  • Darwin Nunez 1+ Tackle @ 1.91 (10/11) - SkyBet

  • Darwin Nunez 2+ Tackles @ 6.00 (5/1) - SkyBet

Again, I’d recommend cashing out if Nunez doesn’t start on the left-wing.

💰 Punt: Over 13.5 Shots for Aston Villa & Over 18.5 Tackles for Man Utd
📗 Bookie: Bet365
🎲 Odds: 3.75 (11/4)
⚽️ Game: Man Utd vs. Aston Villa

Opposition team tackles vs Villa in December:

  • Bournemouth 25 tackles vs Villa - PL average 18.9

  • Man City 19 tackles vs Villa - PL average 14.3

  • Arsenal 31 tackles vs Villa - PL average 16.3

  • Brentford 33 tackles vs Villa - PL average 18.5

  • Sheffield Utd 31 tackles vs Villa - PL average 20.1

Manchester United concede the 4th most shots per game in the Premier League (15.7) although that figure does drop to 12.8 shots per game when playing at home. Aston Villa are averaging 14.7 shots per game which ranks 6th, when playing away they average 14.2 shots which is the 3rd highest in the league. Moral of the story = Man U are shite & Villa are good 🤷‍♂️ 

Unai Emery Football GIF by Aston Villa FC

Gif by AstonVillaFC on Giphy

Punts below are all with Bet365:

  • Over 13.5 Shots for Aston Villa & Over 18.5 Tackles for Man Utd @ 3.75 (11/4)

  • Over 16.5 Shots for Aston Villa & Over 22.5 Tackles for Man Utd @ 17.00 (16/1)

  • Over 20.5 Shots for Aston Villa & Over 24.5 Tackles for Man Utd @ 56.00 (55/1)

💰 Punt: Christopher Nkunku 3+, 4+, 5+ & 6+ Shots
📗 Bookie: SkyBet
🎲 Odds: 2.20 (6/5), 4.00 (3/1), 8.50 (15/2) & 19.00 (18/1)
⚽️ Game: Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace

Chelsea’s dismal 2-1 defeat at Molineux on Christmas Eve saw Cole Palmer and Raheem Sterling pick up their 5th yellow cards of the Premier League season meaning they’ll serve a one-match suspension over the festive period and miss the visit of Crystal Palace to Stamford Bridge.

Christopher Nkunku made his Premier League debut in the loss to Wolves but was a bright spark off the bench. He managed 4 shots and scored what turned out to be just a consolation goal for Chelsea.

With the loss of Palmer and Sterling, we should see Christopher Nkunku shoulder a lot of the attacking burden. The Frenchman was RB Leipzig’s focal attacking figure and averaged 3.5 shots per90 last season in the Bundesliga as the main man.

There’s no guarantee that Nkunku will start but cash out should be available, just don’t forget about it when you’re hungover and full of regret after convincing your pals you know who wins the King George after 2 pints on Boxing Day!

🚂 All of the bets below are with SkyBet. Place via BuildABet and add 2+ Nkunku shots & 6+ Nkunku shots to get inflated odds of 19.00 (18/1) for example.

  • Christopher Nkunku 3+ Shots @ 2.20 (6/5)

  • Christopher Nkunku 4+ Shots @ 4.00 (3/1)

  • Christopher Nkunku 5+ Shots @ 8.50 (15/2)

  • Christopher Nkunku 6+ Shots @ 19.00 (18/1)

If Poch decides to keep Nkunku coming off the bench in his return to match fitness, an alternative bet would be Mykhailo Mudryk Over 1.5 Shots @ 2.00 (1/1) with Bet365.

#CheekyPunts

  • Anthony Gordon & Neco Williams To Be Booked, Neco Williams To Commit 2+ Fouls & Anthony Gordon To Win 3+ Fouls @ 81.00 (80/1) with SkyBet.

  • Over 20.5 Shots for Aston Villa & Over 24.5 Tackles for Man Utd @ 56.00 (55/1)

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