50 Shades of Archie Gray

First-half snooze fests & a load of shots đź’¤

đź’° Punt: Archie Gray 3+ Tackles
đź“— Bookie: SkyBet
🎲 Odds: 2.75 (7/4)
⚽️ Game: Rotherham vs. Leeds

Archie Gray’s tackle numbers weren’t overly impressive in his defensive midfield role to start the season, so looking at it blindly and just taking his average tackle numbers into account, it doesn’t look an overly enticing bet. However, in his last 5 games he’s played as a makeshift right-back and has recorded 3+ tackles in 4 of those 5 appearances.

  • Bristol City - 7 tackles

  • Norwich - 9 tackles

  • Stoke - 1 tackle

  • Leicester - 4 tackles

  • Plymouth - 3 tackles

An average of 4.8 tackles per game for Gray over the five game period as a right-back. Leeds manager Daniel Farke has confirmed that Djed Spence is back fit and available, although I’d be shocked if he was to be thrown in the deep end and in from the start immediately given his lack of match fitness after his injury setbacks. If Gray doesn’t start right-back, I’d advise cashing out.

Betting Season 3 GIF by American Gods

Punt: Archie Gray 3+ Tackles @ 2.75 (7/4) & Archie Gray 4+ Tackles @ 5.50 (9/2) with SkyBet.

đź’° Punt: Under 2 Cards In The 1st Half & Under 2 Goals In The 1st Half
đź“— Bookie: Bet365
🎲 Odds: 3.23 (2.23/1)
⚽️ Game: Man City vs. Liverpool

There’s not much to really back this bet up in terms of stats to send you to sleep with etc. I’m just predicting the match to be a quite slow, cagey start given the early 12.30 Saturday kick-off time after an international break.

Liverpool are likely to be impacted more given their South American contingent of Alisson, Alexis Mac Allister, Luis Diaz & Darwin Nunez. In comparison, Manchester City only have Julian Alvarez’s quick turnaround to cope with. I’m sure Jurgen Klopp will make a song and dance about it one way or another.

Looking Around Premier League GIF by Liverpool FC

I hate betting unders. Not sure why I’m doing this to myself in all honesty! Could be made to look very stupid given the attacking talent on the pitch or Chris Kavanagh’s ego dishing yellows out after 30 seconds. Let’s hope for a very boring 45 minutes of football with no intensity between two of the best football teams of recent times…

Let’s have a tickle on Exactly 0 first half cards & Exactly 0 first half goals @ 18.75 (17.75/1) with Bet365 as well. Because we hate money.

đź’° Punt: Bundesliga Team Shots Treble
đź“— Bookie: Bet365
🎲 Odds: 7.56 (6.56/1)
⚽️ Game: Leverkusen, Darmstadt & Stuttgart

  • Bayer Leverkusen - Over 15.5 Shots @ 1.80 (4/5)

  • Darmstadt - Over 10.5 Shots @ 2.00 (1/1)

  • VfB Stuttgart - Over 12.5 Shots @ 2.10 (11/10)

Combine the above selections for a treble at a fraction above 13/2.

Only Bayern Munich are averaging more shots than Bayer Leverkusen (16.5) and they face a Werder Bremen side who concede the 5th most shots in the league per game (15.9).

Darmstadt face a Freiburg side who have conceded 15.2 shots per game, Darmstadt themselves average 12.5 shots a game.

VfB Stuttgart average 16.4 shots per game and Frankfurt are conceding 13.2 shots per game on average.

đź’° Punt: Rodrigo Bentancur Over 1.5 Shots
đź“— Bookie: Bet365
🎲 Odds: 3.50 (5/2)
⚽️ Game: Tottenham vs. Aston Villa

Uruguayan midfielder Rodrigo Bentancur got some much needed game-time for his country over the international break. 30 minutes as a second-half substitute in their impressive 2-0 win over Argentina & 86 minutes from the start in their 3-0 victory over Bolivia.

GIF by JuventusFC

He should be the beneficiary of Yves Bissouma serving yet another suspension for yellow card accumulation after his booking vs. Wolves last time out. Yet to really see him in full throttle under #AngeBall but I think his style of play will suit Postecoglou’s system down to the ground and wouldn’t be surprised if he chipped in with a couple of goals throughout the season.

Punt: Rodrigo Bentancur Over 1.5 Shots @ 3.50 (5/2) with Bet365

đź’° Punt: Scott McTominay 2+ Shots
đź“— Bookie: Betfair/Paddy Power
🎲 Odds: 2.70 (17/10)
⚽️ Game: Everton vs. Man Utd

It’s hard to leave Scott McTominay alone recently whether it’s for Scotland or his club side. The midfielder scored his 7th goal of the Scots’ European qualifying campaign during the recent international break. Managing 4 & 2 shots in their games vs Georgia and Norway respectively.

Man Utd Singing GIF by Manchester United

Gif by manutd on Giphy

This Everton side and Goodison Park for that matter will likely have a siege mentality from the first whistle on Sunday and I can see the Toffees taking an early first-half lead. Of course it’s all hypothetical but that’d be very benefical for a couple of McSauce digs at goal!

Punt: Scott McTominay 2+ Shots @ 2.70 (17/10) - Betfair/Paddy Power
Punt: Scott McTominay To Score Anytime @ 9.00 (8/1) - Bet365

đź’° Punt: Over 28.5 Match Shots
đź“— Bookie: Bet365
🎲 Odds: 2.37 (11/8)
⚽️ Game: Heidenheim vs. Bochum

Shots for: Heidenheim 12.4 & Bochum 14.8
Shots against: Heidenheim 16.0 & Bochum 16.0

When playing at home, Heidenheim average 16.4 shots for & they concede 14.6 shots.

  • Hoffenheim - 36 match shots (20-16)

  • Werder Bremen - 29 match shots (18-11)

  • Union Berlin - 30 match shots (10-20)

  • Augsburg - 24 match shots (15-9)

  • Stuttgart - 36 match shots (19-17)

Celebrate Lets Go GIF by The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon

When playing away from home, Bochum are conceding 17.8 shots per game. However, they only average 10.0 shots for.

The sides are sitting in 13th and 14th in the league table with only a point separating them. I’m predicting a very end to end game that will become more stretched as the goals go in. Announce 0-0 right now!

Punt: Over 28.5 Match Shots in Heidenheim vs. Bochum @ 2.37 (11/8) with Bet365.

Couldn’t put anyone off backing Over 34.5 match shots @ 7.50 (13/2) with Bet365 either, probably double it with something ridiculous too

Saturday Six-Fold Teams To Win

  • Brighton @ 23/20

  • Bournemouth @ 6/5

  • Southampton @ 7/10

  • Stevenage @ 13/10

  • Mansfield @ 1/1

  • Barnet @ 10/11

6 fold acca pays 69.61/1 with Bet365.

#CheekyPunts

  • Bayer Leverkusen Over 19.5 Shots, Darmstadt Over 13.5 Shots & VfB Stuttgart Over 15.5 Shots @ 60.00 (59/1)

  • Over 34.5 Match Shots in Heidenheim vs. Bochum & Over 32.5 Match Shots in Tottenham vs. Aston Villa @ 45.00 (44/1)

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